How rich is poor?

October 3, 2006 | Uncategorized

Because the value of urban land reflects the residual profit to be made from developing it, when the locality is rich, prices rise, and with it rises the definition of ‘affordable housing,’ at least within the town.  If the town is rich enough, then what may elsewhere seem rich is the new local poor, as revealed in this Boston Globe article:

 

SANTA BARBARA, Calif. — The scruffy lot with the golden weeds and palms wouldn’t rate a second glance if it were in Los Angeles or Bakersfield.

 

Saint_barbara

Saint Barbara, renowned for her beauty

 

Not that Los Angeles is exactly cheap

 

But this is Santa Barbara, a built-out city hemmed in by the Santa Ynez Mountains to the north, the Pacific Ocean to the south, and politics in every possible direction.  

 

When land is scarce, prices rise further.

 

The City Council is considering whether to use the property to build affordable housing, a condominium complex called Los Portales for families earning up to $160,000 a year.

 

Now, “it’s hard to get sympathy for people making $160,000 a year if you’re down in Texas or something,” said Bill Watkins, head of the Economic Forecast Project at the University of California, Santa Barbara.  Any household with that kind of money is in the nosebleed section of American earners, and “most of the country would think, ‘You’re going to subsidize that person’s house?  You’re kidding me.’ “

 

But in this city — where the median home price is about $1.2 million — that person needs help.

 

Dr_evil_one_million_dollars

I need help to buy a house for one … million … dollars!

 

Santa Barbara is itself contained in a larger Metropolitan Statistical Area with lower-income neighbors (Lompoc and Santa Maria).  But let’s pretend it were free-standing, and calculate the proposed ceiling in light of the Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) income cap of 60% of area median.

 

Affordability in Santa Barbara

 

1.       $1,200,000 house price, 20% equity means $240,000 down payment.

2.       80% loan-to-value means a $960,000 mortgage.

3.       For simplicity, figure an 8.0% debt service constant.  The mortgage payment is $76,800 annually, or $6,400 a month.

4.       If payments equal 30% (the Federal affordability standard), this means annual income of $256,000.

5.       So the $160,000 ceiling is 62.5% of local median income, barely over the implicit affordability ceiling.

 

For Santa Barbara, those income levels are low.

 

Gomer_pyle_surprise

Surprise, surprise, surprise!

 

And the Housing Authority of the City of Santa Barbara is about to become the rare public housing agency to assist the well-heeled along with the poor, to build shelter for those whose business cards come in designer leather cases and include such words as “doctor,” “lawyer,” “director.”

 

Except that those aren’t the people Santa Barbara’s concerned about; rather, Santa Barbara wants to have living in town its critical workers: police, fire, EMTs, and teachers.  From the housing authority’s Web site:

 

People who need access to affordable housing are no longer simply those families who are at or below the poverty level, the disabled or low income seniors.  It now includes a growing number of our middle class who earn a decent living but can no longer afford housing in our community.

And we depend on this latter group to meet a variety of our needs as well as to preserve our economic vitality—they include public safety personnel, teachers, health care professionals, and retail workers, to name a few.

 

The groups at the extreme ends of this income range - the homeless and middle income workers - are particularly vulnerable to our housing market and often have little or no recourse to deal with their respective housing dilemmas.

 

Decisions_caryatid

Decisions, decisions

 

Nor is Santa Barbara confining its efforts to workforce housing:

 

El Carrillo Studios is our newest project and is now under construction at 315 W. Carrillo Street. It consists of 62 new, permanently affordable rental units, designed to serve very low income, and homeless (or near-homeless) citizens of Santa Barbara.

 

As might be expected with very deep affordability comes financial complexity, and a multiplicity of sources:

 

The partners needed to make El Carrillo a reality is an amazing [financing — Ed.] quilt, woven by several private and public organizations.  Our partners include the Housing Trust Fund of Santa Barbara, an important and relatively new local nonprofit which strives to expand the production, renovation and preservation of affordable housing within Santa Barbara County.

 

Listen for the cavalcade of the four kinds of money: hard debt, soft debt, hard equity (the city’s land contribution), soft equity, and more than likely income subsidy (in the form of Housing Choice Vouchers):

 

They are currently providing $1,000,000 of needed construction financing for El Carrillo at a below market interest rate. Other important subsidies and capital resources are coming from the City Redevelopment Agency, Garden Court, Inc., Santa Barbara Housing Assistance Corporation, Apollo Capital (our tax credit investors), Santa Barbara Bank and Trust, and last, but not least, ourselves—the Housing Authority, who has spearheaded and is the developer and operator of this much needed project.

 

Back to the Globe:

 

“It’s getting into a market that we shouldn’t be spending much time on but, stunningly, needs it,” said Robert G. Pearson, the agency’s executive director.  “It’s rare for housing authorities to get involved in a project like this.  We have our plate full dealing with the poor.”

 

Because if they can’t live in Santa Barbara, they live down the road:

 

Santa_maria_to_santa_barbara

Same metropolitan area! 90 minutes apart

 

Santa Maria Mayor Larry Lavagnino can’t decide which part surprises him more, the last lot or the helping hand.  His working-class city is home to a chunk of its ritzy neighbor’s displaced workforce, men and women who have been priced out of the rarefied market 75 miles south.

 

“I can hear the water swirling” down the drain, he said of Santa Barbara’s situation. “How do you retain or recruit policemen or firemen when the median home price is $1.2 million?”

 

By building housing whose affordability is capped by the financing. 

 

Note well — demand-side interventions will not solve Santa Barbara’s problem — if you want affordability locally, it must be supply-side: built by the town.

 

Actually, Santa Barbara officials view Los Portales as one answer to the conundrum of keeping middle-class families in a rich person’s city.

 

Prospective buyers would probably be “a cop married to a teacher, a nurse married to a guy who owns a plumbing store,” Councilwoman Iya Falcone said during a recent City Council meeting.  “Some of the people who are going to buy the higher-priced units are doctors and lawyers.  But lawyers are people, too. . . . I love this project.”

 

Iya_falcone

Council member Iya Falcone, on the ordinance committee

Not ordnance!

 

Here we see the true mixed-income housing:

 

Santa Barbara fancies itself America’s Riviera, with its wide, white beaches and perfect weather, its rugged mountain backdrop and clear-day views of the Channel Islands, its building codes tended as meticulously as its lawns.

 

The city can achieve income mixing for one and only one reason: it controls the land:

 

This is believed to be Santa Barbara’s last vacant lot big enough to hold a housing development.

 

The city is zoned for 40,005 housing units.  About 38,000 have been built, and the only housing construction these days is in-fill: a few units here, a few there.  Unlike other land-poor cities, Santa Barbara has been loath to tear down large swaths of outdated structures and rebuild, said Paul Shigley, editor of the California Planning & Development Report.

 

Santa Barbara’s problem is partly self-created.

 

The tallest building here is the eight-story Granada Theatre, built in 1924. It could never be replicated today, in part because the City Charter strictly limits buildings to 60 feet, about four stories. And even four stories is a hard sell.

 

In fact, residents and the council balked at early plans for the Los Portales complex: 90 condos, four stories, with the first floor containing 8,000 square feet of commercial space and a parking garage smaller than municipal requirements.

 

NIMBYism is real, yet the very same neighbors want to exclude the undifferentiated ‘those people.’

 

The project has been in the works for nearly three years, since the Housing Authority bought the vacant lot. The land originally was a bracero camp, or quarters for migrant workers; then it was used as a lemon processing plant. After a while, a research and development operation moved in and then out. It is zoned for industrial use.

 

Zoning is destiny; and low-density zoning is high-income density, because housing demand is elastic, as earning power rises, so do total market occupancy costs — and therefore, so does the value of housing. 

 

“If you’re looking at completely vacant, developable urban land, this is our last big lot,” said Paul Casey, the city’s community development director. But the council “would not have rezoned this land for market-rate housing. They were willing to rezone this property for the benefit of affordable housing only.” 

 

There it is: the value proposition of inclusionary zoning — towns that reject virtually any other form of development will bring in affordable housing, even if affordability is defined by their gargantuan local standards.

 

Gargantua

These are my intake limits.

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